Domestic heavy-duty truck giants are bullish on market growth in 2011, sales are flat or slightly down


According to the survey, the domestic heavy-duty truck industry giants are generally bearish about the growth of market sales in 2011, and even think that they may be negative growth, which is a far cry from the 60% growth rate in 2010.

China FAW Group’s sales department of FAW Trading Corp. stated that sales of heavy trucks released by FAW in 2011 will decline, and it is not optimistic. The main reason is that the economic growth slows down, and heavy trucks are greatly affected by the macro economy. The sales peak that appeared in March-April of the previous year has not seen any improvement so far, and Shanxi, Hebei and other provinces are not optimistic. Due to the trend of large-scale reform of Shanxi's coal enterprises, transportation belts and trains are used for transportation, and dump truck sales have certainly declined.

China National Heavy Duty Truck Sales Department said that in 2011, SINOTRUK provided basic rebates to dealers. The end of year's performance was rewarded according to the business policy. This has the intention of reducing the price for dealers in disguise. In 2011, Sinotruk's heavy truck sales volume will It was flat in 2010.

JAC Gehl Development’s heavy truck sales for January-February 2011 increased by 133%, but Jianghuai’s securities affairs representative stated that the JAC heavy truck growth was mainly due to the low base, and JAC’s products adapted to the upgrading trend of the products, but the entire industry’s sales It is very likely to fall.

According to the data from China Industrial Automobile Association, the sales of heavy trucks of Dongfeng Motor Corporation, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and China FAW Group in February 2011 were 13,800, 13,700 and 12,800, respectively, ranking the top three in the industry, and their sales volume declined year-on-year respectively. 2.0%, 9.3% and 33.9%. The market share of the three giants in the month was 18.3%, 18.2%, and 17%, respectively, a slight drop from January 2011.

Industry data shows that the sales of tractors fell by 29.3% year-on-year in January-February 2011, mainly due to the higher base year-on-year and the declining freight volume growth. The increase in oil prices and labor costs will continue to bring pressure to downstream transportation users. In 2011, logistics Demand for heavy-duty trucks is under greater pressure; sales of dump trucks in January-February 2011 only increased by 6.4% year-on-year. Mainly due to the high base of the same period in 2010, the total sales of 63,800 vehicles, an increase of 190%.

Dump truck sales in 2011 increased by 16% year-on-year, sales of heavy trucks (trucks, trucks) fell by 8%, and overall sales growth slowed to 8%. The sales margin of truck heavy truck companies is mostly low (2%-5%). The dual pressures on costs and prices in 2011 will make it difficult for corporate profits to perform well. In the medium term, the increase in China's logistics efficiency, the increase in the proportion of railway transportation, and the trend of heavy-duty trucks will also slow the growth of heavy truck sales.

In 2010, the sales volume of heavy trucks in China was 1.01 million, and the heavy truck industry was highly likely to suffer negative growth year-on-year in the first half of 2011, and the uncertainties in the second half of the year were relatively large. The annual sales volume showed a trend of falling or slightly lower than that of 2010, and it is expected that the heavy truck industry 2011. Annual sales growth was -10% to +5%.

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